Exceeding 1.5°C global warming could trigger multiple climate tipping points

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Paper details:

Title: Exceeding 1.5°C global warming could trigger multiple climate tipping points

Link: www.science.org/doi/10.1126/science.abn7950 DOI: 10.1126/science.abn7950

Authors: David I. Armstrong McKay 1,2,3,4*, Arie Staal 1,2,5, Jesse F. Abrams 3, Ricarda Winkelmann 6, Boris Sakschewski 6, Sina Loriani 6, Ingo Fetzer 1,2, Sarah E. Cornell 1,2, Johan Rockström 1,6, Timothy M. Lenton 3*

Author affiliations:

1 Stockholm Resilience Centre, Stockholm University; Stockholm, Sweden.

2 Bolin Centre for Climate Research, Stockholm University; Stockholm, Sweden.

3 Global Systems Institute, University of Exeter; Exeter, UK.

4 Georesilience Analytics; Leatherhead, UK.

5 Copernicus Institute of Sustainable Development, Utrecht University; Utrecht, Netherlands.

6 Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research; Potsdam, Germany.

*d.mckay@exeter.ac.uk, t.m.lenton@exeter.ac.uk

More information, including a copy of the paper, can be found online at the Science press package at https://www.eurekalert.org/press/scipak/.

For more information about climate tipping points see Tipping Elements (Potsdam Institute), the Tipping Elements Discussion series (AIMES, Earth Commission, Future Earth, World Climate Research Programme), and climatetippingpoints.info (Dr. David A. McKay)


Funding: This research is part of  the Earth Resilience in the Anthropocene project, funded by the European Research Council (grant number: ERC-2016-ADG-743080), and has also been supported by the Earth Commission, the Leverhulme Trust (RPG-2018-046), and the Alan Turing Institute.

The Earth Commission is the first holistic attempt to scientifically define and quantify a safe and just corridor for people and planet, avoiding crossing irreversible tipping points. The Commission is hosted by Future Earth, the world’s largest network of sustainability scientists, and is the scientific cornerstone of the Global Commons Alliance, ​​a sponsored project of Rockefeller Philanthropy Advisors with support from Oak Foundation, MAVA, Porticus, Gordon and Betty Moore Foundation, Herlin Foundation and the Global Environment Facility. The Commission is also supported by the Global Challenges Foundation.The Commission is chaired by Prof. Dahe Qin (Chinese Academy of Sciences, China), Prof. Joyeeta Gupta (University of Amsterdam, Netherlands) and Prof. Johan Rockström (Potsdam Institute, Germany).

Stockholm Resilience Centre is a part of Stockholm University.