On September 20 a new discussion series on tipping elements of the Earth system was launched, and scientists were invited to join a new international model intercomparison project to better understand how such tipping elements interact.
This is a joint initiative by the global research project Analysis, Integration, and Modeling of the Earth System (AIMES) of Future Earth, the Earth Commission’s Working Group 1 (Earth and Human Systems Modelling Intercomparison Project) and the Safe Landing Climates Light House Activity of World Climate Research Program (WCRP).
The novel discussion series was established in support of efforts to increase consistency in the treatment of tipping elements within the scientific community. The ambition is to develop a research agenda to design joint experiments and ideas for a Tipping Element Model Intercomparison Project (TipMip). This could involve combining the contemporary complexity science tools with Earth System modelling and observational research to breach new ground for how the planet and societies can look in the future.
The TipMip will be a state-of-the-art attempt to explore the different critical thresholds of Earth System components and the feedbacks between them over time and under different forcing levels and drivers. These insights will provide a clearer understanding of the potential state of the Earth System in 2030, 2050 and 2100 depending on the trajectory humanity is embarking on.
If you are interested in joining or be kept up-to-date on the Tipping Element Model Intercomparison Project (TipMip) please register here.